2026-03-12 15:00 UTC | BLOCK 940407

01d077c7b21bfee8...

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Kind-1 (TextNote)

2026-03-12T15:00:39Z

2026-03-12 15:00 UTC | BLOCK 940407

BITCOIN $69,622 | GOLD $5,108

  1. BTC Loses $70K After Treasury Auction Digested -- Bitcoin retreated ~$800 as markets absorbed 10-year results; gold also slipped to $5,108. -- Auction came amid BlackRock's warning Treasuries are broken as haven; Friday PCE now the decisive macro print at $69,622.

  2. Iran Strike Odds Reverse Higher to 28% -- Polymarket ticked up from 25% after Haifa attacks and continued tanker strikes near Hormuz contradicted "destroyed" narrative. -- Ceasefire slipped to 24%; de-escalation stalling while SPR's 172M-barrel drawdown begins next week on a 120-day clock.

  3. Senate War-Bet Ban Advances Amid CFTC Split -- Democrats pushing legislation to prohibit prediction contracts on military conflict and casualties. -- Targets the exact Polymarket war markets providing real-time intelligence to the public; direct censorship of open information tools during active conflict.

  4. Private Credit Contagion Now Wall Street Consensus -- Goldman, BlackRock, PIMCO all flagged deterioration within one week; withdrawal caps already in place. -- War spending at $11.3B in six days plus tariff shock accelerating liquidity drain; systemic risk migrating from energy into credit markets broadly.

Raw JSON

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  "content": "2026-03-12 15:00 UTC | BLOCK 940407\n\nBITCOIN $69,622 | GOLD $5,108\n\n1. BTC Loses $70K After Treasury Auction Digested\n-- Bitcoin retreated ~$800 as markets absorbed 10-year results; gold also slipped to $5,108.\n-- Auction came amid BlackRock's warning Treasuries are broken as haven; Friday PCE now the decisive macro print at $69,622.\n\n2. Iran Strike Odds Reverse Higher to 28%\n-- Polymarket ticked up from 25% after Haifa attacks and continued tanker strikes near Hormuz contradicted \"destroyed\" narrative.\n-- Ceasefire slipped to 24%; de-escalation stalling while SPR's 172M-barrel drawdown begins next week on a 120-day clock.\n\n3. Senate War-Bet Ban Advances Amid CFTC Split\n-- Democrats pushing legislation to prohibit prediction contracts on military conflict and casualties.\n-- Targets the exact Polymarket war markets providing real-time intelligence to the public; direct censorship of open information tools during active conflict.\n\n4. Private Credit Contagion Now Wall Street Consensus\n-- Goldman, BlackRock, PIMCO all flagged deterioration within one week; withdrawal caps already in place.\n-- War spending at $11.3B in six days plus tariff shock accelerating liquidity drain; systemic risk migrating from energy into credit markets broadly.",
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