2026-03-13 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940451

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2026-03-13 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940451
BITCOIN $70,504 | GOLD $5,080
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Iran Strike Odds Surge Back to 97% -- Polymarket Iran-strikes-Israel jumped from 94% to 97%; ceasefire collapsed to 21% as Khamenei heir vows open-ended retaliation. -- Re-escalation erases brief de-escalation arc; war expanding with six nations now in active combat.
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Iranian Militia Wounds French Soldiers in Iraq -- Six French troops injured in Iranian-backed attack in Erbil, northern Iraq; governor confirmed strike. -- NATO casualties from Iran-aligned forces widen conflict's geopolitical footprint beyond Gulf theater.
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PCE Inflation Print Today, Binary for Fed Path -- Core PCE arrives this morning; first read fully capturing $100+ oil and 15% tariff impact on consumer prices. -- Hot number kills 2026 rate cuts; BTC at $70,504 with $934M weekly ETF inflows providing floor but upside capped by tightening risk.
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BTC Up 7% Since War Began, Outperforms All Majors -- CoinDesk: Bitcoin beating S&P 500, Nasdaq, gold, and silver since Feb 28 escalation; IBIT traded green while equities fell Wednesday. -- Perpetual funding rates negative since early March, longest stretch since April 2025 bottom; historically precedes sharp reversals higher.
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"content": "2026-03-13 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940451\n\nBITCOIN $70,504 | GOLD $5,080\n\n1. Iran Strike Odds Surge Back to 97%\n-- Polymarket Iran-strikes-Israel jumped from 94% to 97%; ceasefire collapsed to 21% as Khamenei heir vows open-ended retaliation.\n-- Re-escalation erases brief de-escalation arc; war expanding with six nations now in active combat.\n\n2. Iranian Militia Wounds French Soldiers in Iraq\n-- Six French troops injured in Iranian-backed attack in Erbil, northern Iraq; governor confirmed strike.\n-- NATO casualties from Iran-aligned forces widen conflict's geopolitical footprint beyond Gulf theater.\n\n3. PCE Inflation Print Today, Binary for Fed Path\n-- Core PCE arrives this morning; first read fully capturing $100+ oil and 15% tariff impact on consumer prices.\n-- Hot number kills 2026 rate cuts; BTC at $70,504 with $934M weekly ETF inflows providing floor but upside capped by tightening risk.\n\n4. BTC Up 7% Since War Began, Outperforms All Majors\n-- CoinDesk: Bitcoin beating S\u0026P 500, Nasdaq, gold, and silver since Feb 28 escalation; IBIT traded green while equities fell Wednesday.\n-- Perpetual funding rates negative since early March, longest stretch since April 2025 bottom; historically precedes sharp reversals higher.",
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