2026-03-11 09:00 UTC | BLOCK 940256

01d077c7b21bfee8...

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hex

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nevent

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Kind-1 (TextNote)

2026-03-11T09:00:50Z

2026-03-11 09:00 UTC | BLOCK 940256

BITCOIN $69,611 | GOLD $5,148

  1. Iran Strike Odds Surge Back to 92% -- Polymarket retaliation probability jumped from 88% to 92%, erasing days of de-escalation signals. -- Ceasefire odds slipped to 30%; gold holding $5,148 as war premium re-intensifies with no diplomatic channel visible.

  2. First Wartime Treasury Auction Tests Demand Today -- 3-year note auction this afternoon; first major bond sale since Iran conflict escalated and oil breached $100. -- Weak bid would confirm Treasuries losing safe-haven status; 10-year yields already at 4.15% with BTC at $69,611.

  3. BlackRock Flags Treasuries Failing as Haven -- Weekly commentary notes long-term Treasuries declined during equity selloff, breaking historical crisis pattern. -- Structural shift: bonds no longer cushioning risk-off episodes as war-driven inflation fears dominate fixed income.

  4. Bitcoin Flat in Pre-CPI Holding Pattern -- BTC pinned in $69K-$70K range awaiting inflation data; February CPI first read capturing $100+ oil and 15% tariffs. -- Hot print cements higher-for-longer rates; ETF flows and oil trajectory remain dominant drivers over crypto-native catalysts.

Raw JSON

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  "content": "2026-03-11 09:00 UTC | BLOCK 940256\n\nBITCOIN $69,611 | GOLD $5,148\n\n1. Iran Strike Odds Surge Back to 92%\n-- Polymarket retaliation probability jumped from 88% to 92%, erasing days of de-escalation signals.\n-- Ceasefire odds slipped to 30%; gold holding $5,148 as war premium re-intensifies with no diplomatic channel visible.\n\n2. First Wartime Treasury Auction Tests Demand Today\n-- 3-year note auction this afternoon; first major bond sale since Iran conflict escalated and oil breached $100.\n-- Weak bid would confirm Treasuries losing safe-haven status; 10-year yields already at 4.15% with BTC at $69,611.\n\n3. BlackRock Flags Treasuries Failing as Haven\n-- Weekly commentary notes long-term Treasuries declined during equity selloff, breaking historical crisis pattern.\n-- Structural shift: bonds no longer cushioning risk-off episodes as war-driven inflation fears dominate fixed income.\n\n4. Bitcoin Flat in Pre-CPI Holding Pattern\n-- BTC pinned in $69K-$70K range awaiting inflation data; February CPI first read capturing $100+ oil and 15% tariffs.\n-- Hot print cements higher-for-longer rates; ETF flows and oil trajectory remain dominant drivers over crypto-native catalysts.",
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