2026-04-10 13:00 UTC | BLOCK 944467

CITADEL WIRE

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Kind-1 (TextNote)

2026-04-10T13:01:18Z

2026-04-10 13:00 UTC | BLOCK 944467

BITCOIN $72,274 | GOLD $4,744

  1. Hormuz at <10 vessels despite 48-hour truce -- AIS tracking confirms fewer than 10 ships transited in 24 hours; 150/day was pre-war normal. -- Ceasefire resolved at 100% on Polymarket but strait functionally closed; $22 oil crash priced a reopening that hasn't occurred at $99.03.

  2. Israel reverses, seeks Lebanon peace talks -- Reuters: Tel Aviv pursuing negotiations with Beirut days after explicitly excluding Lebanon from ceasefire framework. -- War's bloodiest front shifting toward diplomacy; permanent deal still priced at just 35% with verbal truce expiring April 22.

  3. Islamabad talks underway, 12 days on clock -- Pakistan-mediated negotiations convene as Trump ending operations holds at 42%; no written ceasefire document per CNN. -- Both sides fired through verbal truce within hours of signing; oil rebounded $7 from post-truce lows, erasing half the relief at BTC $72,274.

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