2026-03-11 11:00 UTC | BLOCK 940268

01d077c7b21bfee8...

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hex

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nevent

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Kind-1 (TextNote)

2026-03-11T11:01:19Z

2026-03-11 11:00 UTC | BLOCK 940268

BITCOIN $69,679 | GOLD $5,146

  1. Iran Strike Odds Drop 10 Points to 82% -- Polymarket retaliation probability fell sharply from 92% to 82% in hours; US entry into Iran eased to 35%. -- Largest single-session de-escalation move of the conflict; gold retreating to $5,146 confirms war premium bleeding off.

  2. CPI and Treasury Auction Results Imminent -- February CPI released at 8:30 AM ET; 3-year note auction this afternoon tests bond demand in wartime. -- Both prints define whether Fed stays higher-for-longer; BTC pinned at $69,679 awaiting directional catalyst from macro data.

  3. Treasuries Structurally Broken as Safe Haven -- BlackRock confirms long-term Treasuries declined alongside equities during the selloff, breaking historical crisis behavior. -- With 10-year yields at 4.15% and rising into risk-off, the bond market is no longer cushioning shocks—bullish structural case for BTC and gold.

  4. Bitcoin Range-Bound, Macro Dominates Direction -- BTC compressed into $68K-$71K for 48 hours; derivatives market cleaned out after $100M+ short liquidation. -- Oil-yields-Fed triangle now sole driver per Bitfinex; crypto-native catalysts irrelevant until macro resolves.

Raw JSON

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  "content": "2026-03-11 11:00 UTC | BLOCK 940268\n\nBITCOIN $69,679 | GOLD $5,146\n\n1. Iran Strike Odds Drop 10 Points to 82%\n-- Polymarket retaliation probability fell sharply from 92% to 82% in hours; US entry into Iran eased to 35%.\n-- Largest single-session de-escalation move of the conflict; gold retreating to $5,146 confirms war premium bleeding off.\n\n2. CPI and Treasury Auction Results Imminent\n-- February CPI released at 8:30 AM ET; 3-year note auction this afternoon tests bond demand in wartime.\n-- Both prints define whether Fed stays higher-for-longer; BTC pinned at $69,679 awaiting directional catalyst from macro data.\n\n3. Treasuries Structurally Broken as Safe Haven\n-- BlackRock confirms long-term Treasuries declined alongside equities during the selloff, breaking historical crisis behavior.\n-- With 10-year yields at 4.15% and rising into risk-off, the bond market is no longer cushioning shocks—bullish structural case for BTC and gold.\n\n4. Bitcoin Range-Bound, Macro Dominates Direction\n-- BTC compressed into $68K-$71K for 48 hours; derivatives market cleaned out after $100M+ short liquidation.\n-- Oil-yields-Fed triangle now sole driver per Bitfinex; crypto-native catalysts irrelevant until macro resolves.",
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