2026-03-12 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940322

01d077c7b21bfee8...

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Kind-1 (TextNote)

2026-03-12T00:00:45Z

2026-03-12 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940322

BITCOIN $70,199 | GOLD $5,102

  1. Iran Strike Odds Crater to 37% From 92% Peak -- Polymarket Iran-strikes-Israel collapsed from 92% two days ago to 37%; US entry odds down to 28%. -- Fastest de-escalation in prediction market history for this conflict; gold retreating to $5,102 confirms war premium unwinding rapidly.

  2. Bitcoin ETF Weekly Inflows Surge to $934M -- Spot ETF inflows jumped 20% week-over-week; ETFs now hold 1.51M BTC (7.2% of total supply). -- Institutional accumulation accelerating through war volatility; BTC at $70,199 supported by structural demand floor.

  3. US-Iran Ceasefire Market Emerges at 28% -- New Polymarket contract pricing diplomatic resolution; regime-fall odds steady at 24% by June. -- First time ceasefire has its own liquid market; signals traders see negotiated end as plausible path despite six-nation active conflict.

  4. Private Credit Reckoning Deepens Across Major Managers -- PIMCO warns of "sloppy underwriting" reckoning days after BlackRock capped withdrawals on $26B fund. -- Two largest global asset managers now flagging systemic cracks; liquidity stress migrating from energy into credit markets broadly.

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  "content": "2026-03-12 00:00 UTC | BLOCK 940322\n\nBITCOIN $70,199 | GOLD $5,102\n\n1. Iran Strike Odds Crater to 37% From 92% Peak\n-- Polymarket Iran-strikes-Israel collapsed from 92% two days ago to 37%; US entry odds down to 28%.\n-- Fastest de-escalation in prediction market history for this conflict; gold retreating to $5,102 confirms war premium unwinding rapidly.\n\n2. Bitcoin ETF Weekly Inflows Surge to $934M\n-- Spot ETF inflows jumped 20% week-over-week; ETFs now hold 1.51M BTC (7.2% of total supply).\n-- Institutional accumulation accelerating through war volatility; BTC at $70,199 supported by structural demand floor.\n\n3. US-Iran Ceasefire Market Emerges at 28%\n-- New Polymarket contract pricing diplomatic resolution; regime-fall odds steady at 24% by June.\n-- First time ceasefire has its own liquid market; signals traders see negotiated end as plausible path despite six-nation active conflict.\n\n4. Private Credit Reckoning Deepens Across Major Managers\n-- PIMCO warns of \"sloppy underwriting\" reckoning days after BlackRock capped withdrawals on $26B fund.\n-- Two largest global asset managers now flagging systemic cracks; liquidity stress migrating from energy into credit markets broadly.",
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